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Continuing with our previous comments on the coming bull market for grains, Soybeans $SOYB (attachment 1), Corn $CORN (attachment 2) and Wheat $WEAT (attachment 3) had a strong day yesterday.
Attachment 4 displays the strong corn sales in the new marketing year, which began on September 1, 2020 (see text below).
This is good news for fertilizer companies such as Nutrien Inc., (formerly Potash Corp.) as farmers buy more fertilizers when the proceeds from grain sales increase (attachment 5).
Also Deere & Co. should benefit as they are manufacturing agricultural machineries (attachment 6).
There is an ETF: Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) US$ 14.89 (attachment 7). However, the fund does also contain other agriculture items.
The U.S. corn marketing year began Sept. 1 and already has 832.713 million bushels (21.15 million metric tons) of corn sold on the books, including 377.546 million bushels (9.59 million tons) destined for China alone.
Most of these sales are known as "outstanding sales," meaning corn contracted but not yet delivered. Total outstanding sales at any point in the marketing year have surpassed 20 million metric tons only a few times since
data started being collected in 1990.
Since U.S. corn sales tend to pick up post-harvest, between January and March, having such a significant amount of outstanding sales already in place creates a solid foundation for the new crop year and indicates the potential for large corn sales overall in the coming 12 months.
Such large numbers, particularly from sales to China, are also having a positive impact on price, which is influenced by many supply and demand factors
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